--- title: "Spider Karambit case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Spider Karambit ($150.75) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 104.07% over 524 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit rendered: 2026-11-11T22:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Spider Karambit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Spider Karambit A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit?window=all) Price · $150.75 · 302 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $135.67 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.07% · 524 openings, odds method Variance · 8.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 46 openings · below min 7 days · 118.42% ±29.19 368 openings 30 days · 104.07% ±24.47 524 openings since tracking started · 104.07% ±24.47 524 openings 42.5% 125.7% 209.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit?window=24h) | 46 | 125.60% ±82.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit?window=7d) | 368 | 118.42% ±29.2 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit) | 524 | 104.07% ±24.5 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spider-karambit?window=all) | 524 | 104.07% ±24.5 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 532 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $4,209 8,418 coins | 6.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.88× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 333 | $3,288 6,576 coins | 7.3% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.51× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $2,109 4,219 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,661 3,323 coins | 6.1% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $1,501 3,002 coins | 6.6% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× | | [Sticker \| mir (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mir-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 100 | $1,250 2,500 coins | 9.2% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.32× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,151 2,301 coins | 8.5% | 10 | 5.3 | 1.88× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,113 2,226 coins | 16.4% | 10 | 10.6 | 0.94× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 25 | $966 1,931 coins | 28.5% | 17 | 21.3 | 0.80× | | [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 90.0% | $7.51 15.01 coins | 5.0% | 476 | 478.8 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $4,209 8,418 coins 27.92x 2026-11-08 20:22 UTC [★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) [BlankTorch7918](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BlankTorch7918) $151 302 coins $4,209 8,418 coins 27.92x 2026-11-07 02:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $151 302 coins $3,288 6,576 coins 21.81x 2026-11-10 23:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $151 302 coins $3,288 6,576 coins 21.81x 2026-11-08 20:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $151 302 coins $3,288 6,576 coins 21.81x 2026-11-08 10:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $151 302 coins $3,288 6,576 coins 21.81x 2026-11-05 20:27 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 302 coins $1,661 3,323 coins 11.02x 2026-11-05 06:18 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 302 coins $1,661 3,323 coins 11.02x 2026-11-04 18:54 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 302 coins $1,501 3,002 coins 9.96x 2026-11-11 12:52 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $151 302 coins $1,501 3,002 coins 9.96x 2026-11-06 15:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=spider-karambit) [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) Hidden $151 302 coins $7.51 15.01 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $151 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 95.6% legendary 0.4% extraordinary 3.0% Covert 1.0% best hit $4,209 (27.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt