---
title: "Spin Bot case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Spin Bot ($30.30) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 72.50% over 255 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Spin Bot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Spin Bot

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot?window=all)

Price · $30.30 · 60.59 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $27.26 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.50% · 255 openings, odds method

Variance · 13.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 60 openings · below min

7 days · 76.59% ±48.93 217 openings

30 days · 72.50% ±45.14 255 openings

since tracking started · 72.50% ±45.14 255 openings

-0.5% 89.5% 179.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot?window=24h) | 60 | 85.98% ±93.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot?window=7d) | 217 | 76.59% ±48.9 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot) | 255 | 72.50% ±45.1 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spin-bot?window=all) | 255 | 72.50% ±45.1 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 255 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,916 9,833 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $3,086 6,171 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $1,788 3,577 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 1,176 | $1,015 2,029 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $721 1,442 coins | 2.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $438 876 coins | 9.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Doodle Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-doodle-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $361 722 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $259 519 coins | 9.5% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.78× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $132 264 coins | 12.1% | 9 | 6.4 | 1.41× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $75.06 150 coins | 11.0% | 11 | 10.2 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Doodle Lore (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-doodle-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $49.51 99.01 coins | 10.9% | 11 | 15.3 | 0.72× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $23.04 46.07 coins | 5.9% | 22 | 17.9 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $19.95 39.9 coins | 5.9% | 17 | 20.4 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $13.85 27.7 coins | 4.6% | 19 | 22.9 | 0.83× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.77 19.54 coins | 3.6% | 25 | 25.5 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) | 50.8% | $0.07 0.15 coins | 0.1% | 137 | 129.5 | 1.06× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $721 1,442 coins 23.80x 2026-11-08 09:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=spin-bot)

[AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Doodle Lore (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-doodle-lore-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $49.51 99.01 coins 1.63x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $13.85 27.7 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Doodle Lore (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-doodle-lore-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $49.51 99.01 coins 1.63x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:54 UTC

[AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:50 UTC

[AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) Hidden $30.30 60.59 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $30.30 | 89.99% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 17.9% other 6.8% classified 8.0% restricted 2.5% Restricted 4.0% pink 10.0% milspec 50.8% best hit $721 (23.80x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt