--- title: "StatTrak Abuser case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "StatTrak Abuser ($52.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 94.93% over 60 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser rendered: 2026-11-11T18:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [StatTrak Abuser](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · StatTrak Abuser A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser?window=all) Price · $52.00 · 104 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $46.80 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.93% · 60 openings, odds method Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 60 openings · below min since tracking started · 60 openings · below min -0.5% 73.5% 147.5% **Small sample.** 60 openings and 4.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser?window=7d) | 30 | 54.23% ±73.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser) | 60 | 94.93% ±51.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stattrak-abuser?window=all) | 60 | 94.93% ±51.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,993 5,986 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,692 3,384 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,138 2,276 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $860 1,721 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $580 1,160 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 100 | $416 831 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 67 | $378 756 coins | 12.1% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $271 542 coins | 11.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $245 489 coins | 11.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 40 | $195 391 coins | 10.4% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $183 365 coins | 11.7% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $124 248 coins | 8.0% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $118 235 coins | 7.5% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.67× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $73.96 148 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $51.91 104 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 75.1% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 46 | 45.1 | 1.02× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=stattrak-abuser) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $52.00 104 coins $245 489 coins 4.71x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:05 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $52.00 104 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 00:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $52.00 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.3% Knives 0.0% covert knife 6.2% Covert 1.0% other 4.5% classified 6.0% #4b69ff 75.1% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt