--- title: "Stoners Paradise case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Stoners Paradise ($51.87) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 77.33% over 235 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise rendered: 2026-11-12T01:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Stoners Paradise](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Stoners Paradise A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise?window=all) Price · $51.87 · 104 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $46.68 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 77.33% · 235 openings, odds method Variance · 10.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 60 openings · below min 7 days · 69.08% ±52.85 138 openings 30 days · 77.33% ±40.50 235 openings since tracking started · 77.33% ±40.50 235 openings -0.5% 64.3% 129.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise?window=24h) | 60 | 48.07% ±80.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise?window=7d) | 138 | 69.08% ±52.8 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise) | 235 | 77.33% ±40.5 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/stoners-paradise?window=all) | 235 | 77.33% ±40.5 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 235 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 400 | $2,813 5,625 coins | 15.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $658 1,317 coins | 14.1% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.43× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $506 1,012 coins | 10.8% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.43× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) | 15.0% | $98.28 197 coins | 31.6% | 39 | 35.3 | 1.11× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 15.0% | $83.53 167 coins | 26.8% | 51 | 35.3 | 1.45× | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 21.0% | $2.75 5.49 coins | 1.2% | 50 | 49.4 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-field-tested) | 21.0% | $0.36 0.73 coins | 0.2% | 39 | 49.4 | 0.79× | | [P250 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-factory-new) | 25.8% | $0.32 0.63 coins | 0.2% | 54 | 60.5 | 0.89× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $658 1,317 coins 12.69x 2026-11-04 18:47 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $506 1,012 coins 9.75x 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=stoners-paradise) [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-field-tested) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $0.36 0.73 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $83.53 167 coins 1.61x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-photic-zone-field-tested) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $0.36 0.73 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $98.28 197 coins 1.89x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $98.28 197 coins 1.89x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [P250 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $0.32 0.63 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $2.75 5.49 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [P250 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-factory-new) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $51.87 104 coins $0.32 0.63 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $51.87 104 coins $83.53 167 coins 1.61x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P250 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $51.87 104 coins $0.32 0.63 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $51.87 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.3% extraordinary 30.0% classified 21.0% mil spec 21.0% restricted 25.8% best hit $658 (12.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt