--- title: "Sugar Overdose case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sugar Overdose ($15.05) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.56% over 280 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose rendered: 2026-11-12T00:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Sugar Overdose](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Sugar Overdose A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose?window=all) Price · $15.05 · 30.1 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.56% · 280 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 272 openings · below min 30 days · 280 openings · below min since tracking started · 280 openings · below min 41.0% 142.3% 243.5% **Small sample.** 280 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose?window=24h) | 32 | 142.22% ±100.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose?window=7d) | 272 | 90.15% ±26.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose) | 280 | 88.56% ±25.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sugar-overdose?window=all) | 280 | 88.56% ±25.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=sugar-overdose) [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $13.85 27.7 coins 0.92x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $129 258 coins 8.57x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $45.68 91.35 coins 3.03x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $129 258 coins 8.57x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC [AUG | Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.05 30.1 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.56 on average: an expected loss of $11.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt