---
title: "Summer Island case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Summer Island ($152.10) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Summer Island](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Summer Island

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island?window=all)

Price · $152.10 · 304 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $136.88 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/summer-island?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $4,916 9,833 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,539 5,078 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,221 2,442 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $914 1,828 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $452 903 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $341 681 coins | 22.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir FAMAS \| Colony (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-colony-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $310 620 coins | 20.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-field-tested) | 10.0% | $173 346 coins | 12.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 10.0% | $132 264 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) | 10.0% | $132 263 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-factory-new) | 10.0% | $101 202 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $57.32 115 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $50.22 100 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $25.86 51.71 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $21.68 43.36 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-sage-spray-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.01 6.01 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=summer-island)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $152 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 16.5% remarkable 0.0% legendary 0.0% extraordinary 18.0% Knives 9.0% other 24.0% restricted 20.0% classified 7.0% consumer 5.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt