--- title: "Sunny Eagle case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sunny Eagle ($24.30) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 71.58% over 100 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle rendered: 2026-11-11T16:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Sunny Eagle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Sunny Eagle A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle?window=all) Price · $24.30 · 48.6 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $21.87 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.58% · 100 openings, odds method Variance · 3.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 84 openings · below min 30 days · 71.58% ±36.94 100 openings since tracking started · 71.58% ±36.94 100 openings 34.0% 76.0% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle?window=7d) | 84 | 76.86% ±40.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle) | 100 | 71.58% ±36.9 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sunny-eagle?window=all) | 100 | 71.58% ±36.9 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 100 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 1 in 29 | $186 371 coins | 29.7% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $175 350 coins | 28.0% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× | | [FAMAS \| Sundown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $66.41 133 coins | 15.2% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $18.99 37.97 coins | 6.9% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× | | [P90 \| Sunset Lily (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sunset-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $15.13 30.25 coins | 5.5% | 12 | 8.0 | 1.50× | | [P90 \| Sunset Lily (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sunset-lily-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $12.40 24.8 coins | 4.5% | 3 | 8.0 | 0.38× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $11.62 23.23 coins | 4.2% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $6.03 12.05 coins | 2.2% | 11 | 8.0 | 1.38× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-field-tested) | 16.0% | $3.21 6.41 coins | 2.3% | 19 | 16.0 | 1.19× | | [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 32.0% | $0.86 1.72 coins | 1.3% | 33 | 32.0 | 1.03× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=sunny-eagle) [AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $11.62 23.23 coins 0.48x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $0.86 1.72 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $11.62 23.23 coins 0.48x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $0.86 1.72 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [MP9 | Setting Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-field-tested) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $3.21 6.41 coins 0.13x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [MP9 | Setting Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-field-tested) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $3.21 6.41 coins 0.13x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [FAMAS | Sundown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-factory-new) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $66.41 133 coins 2.73x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [P90 | Sunset Lily (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sunset-lily-factory-new) [DANILYS](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DANILYS) $24.30 48.6 coins $15.13 30.25 coins 0.62x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $0.86 1.72 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) Hidden $24.30 48.6 coins $186 371 coins 7.64x 2026-11-10 00:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $24.30 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 7.0% #4b69ff 5.0% industrial 32.0% mil spec 24.0% #8847ff 32.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt