--- title: "Super Cawk case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Super Cawk ($191.21) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 57.61% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Super Cawk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Super Cawk A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk?window=all) Price · $191.21 · 382 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $172.09 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 57.61% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 18.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min 0.5% 57.5% 114.5% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk?window=7d) | 16 | 57.61% ±56.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk) | 16 | 57.61% ±56.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-cawk?window=all) | 16 | 57.61% ±56.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $797 1,594 coins | 11.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $751 1,501 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $435 870 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $419 837 coins | 9.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 25 | $405 809 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $253 506 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $223 447 coins | 6.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $213 425 coins | 6.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $152 304 coins | 4.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $123 247 coins | 3.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $116 232 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $100 200 coins | 2.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Charm \| Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) | 47.0% | $24.50 49 coins | 6.7% | 8 | 7.5 | 1.06× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=super-cawk) [★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) Hidden $191 382 coins $419 837 coins 2.19x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $191 382 coins $213 425 coins 1.11x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [Charm | Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) Hidden $191 382 coins $24.50 49 coins 0.13x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $191 382 coins $213 425 coins 1.11x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $191 382 coins $100 200 coins 0.52x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [Charm | Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) Hidden $191 382 coins $24.50 49 coins 0.13x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [Charm | Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) Hidden $191 382 coins $24.50 49 coins 0.13x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [Charm | Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) [Tomex](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tomex) $191 382 coins $24.50 49 coins 0.13x 2026-11-07 02:25 UTC [Charm | Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) Hidden $191 382 coins $24.50 49 coins 0.13x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) Hidden $191 382 coins $123 247 coins 0.65x 2026-11-07 02:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $191 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% #4B69FF 2.5% other 2.5% extraordinary 8.0% rare 5.0% Covert 5.0% milspec 5.0% classified 5.0% covert knife 5.0% #8847ff 47.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt