--- title: "Super Chicken case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Super Chicken ($1,394.13) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 92.28% over 436 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Super Chicken](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Super Chicken A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken?window=all) Price · $1,394.13 · 2,788 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,254.71 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.28% · 436 openings, odds method Variance · 12.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 92.28% ±33.27 436 openings 30 days · 92.28% ±33.27 436 openings since tracking started · 92.28% ±33.27 436 openings -0.5% 107.5% 215.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken?window=24h) | 20 | 59.45% ±155.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken?window=7d) | 436 | 92.28% ±33.3 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken) | 436 | 92.28% ±33.3 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-chicken?window=all) | 436 | 92.28% ±33.3 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 436 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $36.5K 72,902 coins | 29.1% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $25.5K 51,019 coins | 20.3% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.15× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $15.1K 30,112 coins | 12.0% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.15× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 50 | $8,862 17,724 coins | 14.1% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.03× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 50 | $7,714 15,428 coins | 12.3% | 10 | 8.7 | 1.15× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $7,651 15,302 coins | 12.2% | 12 | 8.7 | 1.38× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 91.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 392 | 396.8 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $36.5K 72,902 coins 26.15x 2026-11-09 06:07 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) [bigbombaclat](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/bigbombaclat) $1,394 2,788 coins $36.5K 72,902 coins 26.15x 2026-11-05 14:01 UTC [Sticker | Vox Eminor (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $36.5K 72,902 coins 26.15x 2026-11-05 14:01 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $25.5K 51,019 coins 18.30x 2026-11-09 06:06 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $25.5K 51,019 coins 18.30x 2026-11-09 06:06 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) [bigbombaclat](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/bigbombaclat) $1,394 2,788 coins $25.5K 51,019 coins 18.30x 2026-11-05 14:01 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $25.5K 51,019 coins 18.30x 2026-11-05 14:01 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $25.5K 51,019 coins 18.30x 2026-11-05 14:01 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $15.1K 30,112 coins 10.80x 2026-11-09 06:06 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $15.1K 30,112 coins 10.80x 2026-11-09 06:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=super-chicken) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins $7,714 15,428 coins 5.53x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $1,394 2,788 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,394 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.0% remarkable 1.0% extraordinary 1.0% covert 6.0% #4b69ff 91.0% best hit $36.5K (26.15x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt