--- title: "Super Marbles case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Super Marbles ($1,153.23) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 13 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Super Marbles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Super Marbles A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles?window=all) Price · $1,153.23 · 2,306 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,037.90 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 61.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/super-marbles?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3,414 6,828 coins | 49.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 12.0% | $1,581 3,163 coins | 18.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 12.0% | $1,493 2,987 coins | 17.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1,060 2,120 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $701 1,401 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $579 1,159 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $266 531 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $253 506 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $220 440 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $155 309 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $130 259 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $129 258 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Granite Marbleized (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-factory-new) | 37.0% | $0.24 0.48 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=super-marbles) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,153 | 90.00% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 16.0% covert 23.0% legendary 12.0% epic 12.0% industrial 37.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt