---
title: "Tank case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tank ($15.76) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 16 items with odds, observed 65.04% over 458 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Tank](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Tank

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank?window=all)

Price · $15.76 · 31.52 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $14.18 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.04% · 458 openings, odds method

Variance · 19.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 60 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 74.02% ±43.92 382 openings

30 days · 65.04% ±40.11 458 openings

since tracking started · 65.04% ±40.11 458 openings

24.5% 71.5% 118.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank?window=7d) | 382 | 74.02% ±43.9 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank) | 458 | 65.04% ±40.1 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tank?window=all) | 458 | 65.04% ±40.1 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 458 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,699 3,398 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $751 1,501 coins | 2.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $696 1,392 coins | 4.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $607 1,214 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $494 987 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Rifles](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $470 940 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $452 903 coins | 6.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $392 784 coins | 11.1% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $387 775 coins | 10.9% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $354 708 coins | 10.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $202 404 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 4.1 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $57.92 116 coins | 13.6% | 18 | 15.3 | 1.18× |
| [XM1014 \| VariCamo Blue (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-varicamo-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $10.74 21.48 coins | 5.3% | 34 | 32.1 | 1.06× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-army-sheen-factory-new) | 11.0% | $2.09 4.17 coins | 1.6% | 44 | 50.4 | 0.87× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-army-sheen-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $1.18 2.36 coins | 1.7% | 106 | 91.6 | 1.16× |
| [SG 553 \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) | 55.7% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 250 | 255.2 | 0.98× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins $751 1,501 coins 47.62x 2026-11-10 00:33 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins $696 1,392 coins 44.16x 2026-11-05 23:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=tank)

[SCAR-20 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins $2.09 4.17 coins 0.13x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[★ Karambit | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins $392 784 coins 24.86x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-army-sheen-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins $1.18 2.36 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) [pooop](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/pooop) $15.76 31.52 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:26 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Army Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-army-sheen-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins $1.18 2.36 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 10:26 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins $2.09 4.17 coins 0.13x 2026-11-10 10:26 UTC

[SG 553 | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $15.76 31.52 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.76 | 89.98% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.0% other 0.1% extraordinary 0.4% Rifles 0.2% covert knife 0.4% mil spec 7.9% industrial 3.3% Common 31.0% consumer 55.7% best hit $751 (47.62x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt