--- title: "Telescope case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Telescope ($12.28) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 16 items with odds, observed 92.13% over 112 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Telescope](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Telescope A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope?window=all) Price · $12.28 · 24.55 coins Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $11.04 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.13% · 112 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 92.13% ±24.64 112 openings 30 days · 92.13% ±24.64 112 openings since tracking started · 92.13% ±24.64 112 openings 67.0% 138.3% 209.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope?window=24h) | 18 | 147.28% ±61.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope?window=7d) | 112 | 92.13% ±24.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope) | 112 | 92.13% ±24.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/telescope?window=all) | 112 | 92.13% ±24.6 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 112 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $66.94 134 coins | 6.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [FAMAS \| Sundown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $66.41 133 coins | 6.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $63.17 126 coins | 5.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $62.66 125 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $60.91 122 coins | 5.5% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.68× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $57.63 115 coins | 5.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× | | [AK-47 \| First Class (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $52.23 104 coins | 4.7% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $45.68 91.35 coins | 8.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.34× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $26.67 53.34 coins | 9.7% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $24.60 49.19 coins | 8.9% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.45× | | [USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $13.42 26.84 coins | 7.3% | 6 | 6.7 | 0.89× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $11.62 23.23 coins | 6.3% | 8 | 6.7 | 1.19× | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $7.63 15.26 coins | 5.5% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $5.22 10.44 coins | 3.8% | 9 | 9.0 | 1.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-factory-new) | 25.0% | $2.60 5.19 coins | 5.9% | 31 | 28.0 | 1.11× | | [Nova \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 30.0% | $2.01 4.01 coins | 5.4% | 33 | 33.6 | 0.98× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=telescope) [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-factory-new) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $2.60 5.19 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [FAMAS | Sundown (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-factory-new) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $66.41 133 coins 5.41x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-field-tested) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $63.17 126 coins 5.15x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $12.28 24.55 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $11.62 23.23 coins 0.95x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $12.28 24.55 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 09:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.28 | 89.97% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.0% #4b69ff 1.0% covert knife 1.0% #D32CE6 1.0% classified 11.0% restricted 17.0% mil spec 6.0% industrial 6.0% consumer 55.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt