--- title: "The Getaway case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Getaway ($9.47) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 10 items with odds, observed 85.78% over 2,943 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway rendered: 2026-11-11T17:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [The Getaway](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · The Getaway A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway?window=all) Price · $9.47 · 18.93 coins Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $8.51 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.78% · 2,943 openings, odds method Variance · 9.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 95.23% ±29.88 387 openings 7 days · 87.21% ±12.12 2,353 openings 30 days · 85.78% ±10.84 2,943 openings since tracking started · 85.78% ±10.84 2,943 openings 64.5% 95.3% 126.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway?window=24h) | 387 | 95.23% ±29.9 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway?window=7d) | 2,353 | 87.21% ±12.1 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway) | 2,943 | 85.78% ±10.8 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-getaway?window=all) | 2,943 | 85.78% ±10.8 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,963 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $2,095 4,191 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 143 | $267 535 coins | 22.0% | 17 | 20.7 | 0.82× | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $134 267 coins | 15.7% | 22 | 29.6 | 0.74× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $76.84 154 coins | 9.0% | 40 | 29.6 | 1.35× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $54.10 108 coins | 6.4% | 43 | 29.6 | 1.45× | | [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $37.48 74.96 coins | 8.8% | 48 | 59.3 | 0.81× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $21.41 42.82 coins | 7.5% | 94 | 88.9 | 1.06× | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $21.29 42.58 coins | 8.2% | 87 | 97.7 | 0.89× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 11.0% | $9.27 18.53 coins | 12.0% | 325 | 325.9 | 1.00× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 77.0% | $1.12 2.24 coins | 10.1% | 2,287 | 2281.5 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=the-getaway) [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) Hidden $9.47 18.93 coins $9.27 18.53 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $9.47 18.93 coins $1.12 2.24 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [GrimViper3313](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/GrimViper3313) $9.47 18.93 coins $1.12 2.24 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $9.47 18.93 coins $1.12 2.24 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) Hidden $9.47 18.93 coins $21.41 42.82 coins 2.26x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $9.47 18.93 coins $1.12 2.24 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $9.47 18.93 coins $1.12 2.24 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $9.47 18.93 coins $1.12 2.24 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:26 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) Hidden $9.47 18.93 coins $1.12 2.24 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:13 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [GrimViper3313](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/GrimViper3313) $9.47 18.93 coins $1.12 2.24 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 14:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.47 | 89.95% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.0% classified 81.0% Immortal 1.0% restricted 3.0% red 11.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt