---
title: "The King case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The King ($23.10) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 69.58% over 2,314 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [The King](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · The King

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king?window=all)

Price · $23.10 · 46.19 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $20.79 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 69.58% · 2,314 openings, odds method

Variance · 150.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 48.32% ±154.10 244 openings

7 days · 70.10% ±51.04 2,224 openings

30 days · 69.58% ±50.04 2,314 openings

since tracking started · 69.58% ±50.04 2,314 openings

-0.5% 101.3% 203.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king?window=24h) | 244 | 48.32% ±154.1 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king?window=7d) | 2,224 | 70.10% ±51.0 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king) | 2,314 | 69.58% ±50.0 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-king?window=all) | 2,314 | 69.58% ±50.0 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,314 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,979 17,957 coins | 43.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [SG 553 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $101 202 coins | 1.0% | 10 | 4.6 | 2.16× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $84.62 169 coins | 0.8% | 7 | 4.6 | 1.51× |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $61.60 123 coins | 0.7% | 3 | 5.8 | 0.52× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $52.23 104 coins | 0.6% | 3 | 5.8 | 0.52× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $43.58 87.15 coins | 5.2% | 59 | 57.9 | 1.02× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $40.53 81.05 coins | 4.9% | 59 | 57.9 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $22.37 44.74 coins | 5.4% | 114 | 115.7 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $21.68 43.36 coins | 5.2% | 127 | 115.7 | 1.10× |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) | 10.0% | $20.66 41.32 coins | 9.9% | 242 | 231.4 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-factory-new) | 15.0% | $10.26 20.52 coins | 7.4% | 358 | 347.1 | 1.03× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 15.0% | $10.11 20.21 coins | 7.3% | 332 | 347.1 | 0.96× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $5.51 11.01 coins | 3.2% | 279 | 277.7 | 1.00× |
| [MP7 \| Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-gunsmoke-factory-new) | 11.0% | $5.23 10.46 coins | 2.8% | 255 | 254.5 | 1.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 11.0% | $2.63 5.26 coins | 1.4% | 267 | 254.5 | 1.05× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Breaker Box (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.01 4.01 coins | 1.0% | 198 | 231.4 | 0.86× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $8,979 17,957 coins 388.8x 2026-11-08 19:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=the-king)

[PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $23.10 46.19 coins $21.68 43.36 coins 0.94x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $5.51 11.01 coins 0.24x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

[MAC-10 | Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $20.66 41.32 coins 0.89x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

[USP-S | Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $10.11 20.21 coins 0.44x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $5.51 11.01 coins 0.24x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-breaker-box-factory-new) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

[MAC-10 | Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $20.66 41.32 coins 0.89x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

[MP7 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-gunsmoke-factory-new) Hidden $23.10 46.19 coins $5.23 10.46 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $23.10 46.19 coins $10.26 20.52 coins 0.44x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $23.10 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% restricted 15.4% covert 8.0% classified 2.5% mil spec 5.0% #d32ee6 10.0% industrial 15.0% #8847ff 12.0% #87c7ff 21.0% Mil Spec Grade 11.0% best hit $8,979 (388.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt