--- title: "The Last Dance case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Last Dance ($1,539.63) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 36.48% over 60 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance rendered: 2026-11-11T22:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [The Last Dance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · The Last Dance A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance?window=all) Price · $1,539.63 · 3,079 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 36.48% · 60 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 52 openings · below min 30 days · 60 openings · below min since tracking started · 60 openings · below min -0.5% 45.8% 92.0% **Small sample.** 60 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance?window=7d) | 52 | 10.23% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance) | 60 | 36.48% ±54.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/the-last-dance?window=all) | 60 | 36.48% ±54.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) [ilovegoon](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/ilovegoon) $1,540 3,079 coins $25.5K 51,019 coins 16.57x 2026-11-04 20:18 UTC [Charm | Baby Karat T charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-t) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins $3,485 6,970 coins 2.26x 2026-11-09 17:10 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins $2,844 5,688 coins 1.85x 2026-11-09 17:10 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins $1,860 3,720 coins 1.21x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=the-last-dance) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins $1,860 3,720 coins 1.21x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [gramou](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/gramou) $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:18 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:13 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $1,540 3,079 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $25.5K (16.57x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 36.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $36.48 on average: an expected loss of $63.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt