--- title: "Tiger Loot case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tiger Loot ($14.14) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 79.06% over 2,474 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot rendered: 2026-11-11T17:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Tiger Loot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Tiger Loot A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot?window=all) Price · $14.14 · 28.27 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $12.72 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.06% · 2,474 openings, odds method Variance · 9.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 144 openings · below min 7 days · 67.77% ±16.07 1,353 openings 30 days · 79.06% ±11.88 2,474 openings since tracking started · 79.06% ±11.88 2,474 openings -0.5% 48.5% 97.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot?window=24h) | 144 | 47.51% ±49.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot?window=7d) | 1,353 | 67.77% ±16.1 | −2.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot) | 2,474 | 79.06% ±11.9 | −1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiger-loot?window=all) | 2,474 | 79.06% ±11.9 | −1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,474 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 303 | $329 658 coins | 8.5% | 5 | 8.2 | 0.61× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 303 | $299 599 coins | 7.8% | 4 | 8.2 | 0.49× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 303 | $251 503 coins | 6.5% | 8 | 8.2 | 0.98× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $213 425 coins | 9.2% | 13 | 13.6 | 0.96× | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $204 409 coins | 12.2% | 19 | 18.8 | 1.01× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $134 267 coins | 11.8% | 23 | 27.7 | 0.83× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 88 | $132 264 coins | 11.8% | 26 | 28.1 | 0.93× | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $66.39 133 coins | 15.7% | 67 | 74.2 | 0.90× | | [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $15.39 30.77 coins | 7.3% | 149 | 148.4 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 12.0% | $7.34 14.68 coins | 6.9% | 292 | 296.9 | 0.98× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $1.21 2.41 coins | 2.4% | 623 | 618.5 | 1.01× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 49.4% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 1,245 | 1223.3 | 1.02× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=tiger-loot) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins $1.21 2.41 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins $1.21 2.41 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [P250 | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins $7.34 14.68 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:19 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:19 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.14 28.27 coins $1.21 2.41 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 07:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.14 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.2% covert knife 0.3% Classified 3.0% #4b69ff 67.4% Rare 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt