--- title: "Tiggy Tiger case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tiggy Tiger ($17.55) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 114.43% over 653 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger rendered: 2026-11-12T01:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Tiggy Tiger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Tiggy Tiger A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger?window=all) Price · $17.55 · 35.09 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $15.79 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 114.43% · 653 openings, odds method Variance · 31.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 116.65% ±51.01 467 openings 30 days · 114.43% ±43.14 653 openings since tracking started · 114.43% ±43.14 653 openings -0.5% 162.3% 325.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger?window=24h) | 14 | 29.70% ±294.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger?window=7d) | 467 | 116.65% ±51.0 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger) | 653 | 114.43% ±43.1 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tiggy-tiger?window=all) | 653 | 114.43% ±43.1 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 653 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,340 4,679 coins | 14.8% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,178 2,355 coins | 7.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $860 1,721 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $425 849 coins | 18.8% | 7 | 4.6 | 1.53× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $251 503 coins | 15.9% | 3 | 6.5 | 0.46× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $134 267 coins | 21.2% | 12 | 16.3 | 0.74× | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $28.98 57.96 coins | 9.2% | 41 | 32.6 | 1.26× | | [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) | 90.5% | $1.25 2.5 coins | 7.2% | 587 | 591.0 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $2,340 4,679 coins 133.4x 2026-11-06 00:19 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $2,340 4,679 coins 133.4x 2026-11-05 20:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1,178 2,355 coins 67.13x 2026-11-06 18:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=tiggy-tiger) [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1.25 2.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $28.98 57.96 coins 1.65x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1.25 2.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1.25 2.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1.25 2.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1.25 2.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1.25 2.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1.25 2.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $1.25 2.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC [AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $17.55 35.09 coins $28.98 57.96 coins 1.65x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $17.55 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 3.3% covert knife 1.1% classified 5.0% #8847ff 90.5% best hit $2,340 (133.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt