--- title: "Titan Box case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Titan Box ($3.85) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 5 items with odds, observed 84.21% over 1,724 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box rendered: 2026-11-11T17:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Titan Box](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Titan Box A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box?window=all) Price · $3.85 · 7.69 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $3.46 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.21% · 1,724 openings, odds method Variance · 393.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 40.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 84.96% ±219.47 314 openings 7 days · 84.63% ±105.07 1,370 openings 30 days · 84.21% ±93.66 1,724 openings since tracking started · 84.21% ±93.66 1,724 openings -0.5% 152.3% 305.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box?window=24h) | 314 | 84.96% ±219.5 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box?window=7d) | 1,370 | 84.63% ±105.1 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box) | 1,724 | 84.21% ±93.7 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/titan-box?window=all) | 1,724 | 84.21% ±93.7 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,724 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $73.5K 147,047 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,877 5,754 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) | 20.0% | $5.18 10.35 coins | 29.9% | 339 | 344.8 | 0.98× | | [Tec-9 \| Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) | 20.0% | $5.07 10.14 coins | 29.3% | 348 | 344.8 | 1.01× | | [Galil AR \| Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) | 60.0% | $1.99 3.98 coins | 34.5% | 1,037 | 1034.3 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=titan-box) [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $5.18 10.35 coins 1.35x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blue-titanium-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $5.07 10.14 coins 1.32x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $1.99 3.98 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $1.99 3.98 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $5.18 10.35 coins 1.35x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $1.99 3.98 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $1.99 3.98 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) [Deksters](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Deksters) $3.85 7.69 coins $1.99 3.98 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Galil AR | Blue Titanium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-blue-titanium-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $1.99 3.98 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) Hidden $3.85 7.69 coins $5.18 10.35 coins 1.35x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.85 | 89.99% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% high 0.0% restricted 20.0% Mil Spec 20.0% mil spec 60.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt