--- title: "Top ranked 5% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Top ranked 5% ($55.70) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.44% over 80 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5 rendered: 2026-11-13T06:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Top ranked 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Top ranked 5% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5?window=all) Price · $55.70 · 111 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.44% · 80 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 80 openings · below min 30 days · 80 openings · below min since tracking started · 80 openings · below min 11.0% 91.5% 172.0% **Small sample.** 80 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5?window=7d) | 80 | 91.44% ±79.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5) | 80 | 91.44% ±79.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/top-ranked-5?window=all) | 80 | 91.44% ±79.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $55.70 111 coins $1,119 2,238 coins 20.09x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins $774 1,548 coins 13.90x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins $774 1,548 coins 13.90x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) [BigKerby](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BigKerby) $55.70 111 coins $774 1,548 coins 13.90x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $55.70 111 coins $632 1,265 coins 11.35x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=top-ranked-5) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [nigxoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nigxoo) $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $55.70 111 coins $1,119 2,238 coins 20.09x 2026-11-11 01:55 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:55 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:55 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $55.70 111 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,119 (20.09x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.44 on average: an expected loss of $8.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt