--- title: "Toptoptop1% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Toptoptop1% ($0.42) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 74.39% over 3,204 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1 rendered: 2026-11-12T01:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Toptoptop1%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Toptoptop1% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1?window=all) Price · $0.42 · 0.84 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 74.39% · 3,204 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 79.27% ±38.54 2,938 openings 30 days · 74.39% ±35.48 3,204 openings since tracking started · 74.39% ±35.48 3,204 openings 0.5% 59.5% 118.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1?window=24h) | 16 | 1.19% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1?window=7d) | 2,938 | 79.27% ±38.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1) | 3,204 | 74.39% ±35.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toptoptop1?window=all) | 3,204 | 74.39% ±35.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $115 230 coins 273.2x 2026-11-07 11:24 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $79.28 159 coins 188.8x 2026-11-08 14:10 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $79.28 159 coins 188.8x 2026-11-08 14:10 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-field-tested) [iMadyyyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/iMadyyyy) $0.42 0.84 coins $79.28 159 coins 188.8x 2026-11-07 11:26 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | VariCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-varicamo-well-worn) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $75.08 150 coins 178.8x 2026-11-10 23:13 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | VariCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-varicamo-well-worn) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $75.08 150 coins 178.8x 2026-11-09 01:23 UTC [Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $60.29 121 coins 143.5x 2026-11-08 13:30 UTC [Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $60.29 121 coins 143.5x 2026-11-07 14:34 UTC [Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $60.29 121 coins 143.5x 2026-11-05 22:28 UTC [FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-factory-new) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins $24.98 49.95 coins 59.46x 2026-11-09 03:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=toptoptop1) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 21:32 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:43 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.42 0.84 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 07:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $115 (273.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.39 on average: an expected loss of $25.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt