--- title: "Tourist case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tourist ($25.72) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 73.19% over 125 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist rendered: 2026-11-11T18:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Tourist](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Tourist A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist?window=all) Price · $25.72 · 51.43 coins Advertised RTP · 89.00% · EV $22.89 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 73.19% · 125 openings, odds method Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 117 openings · below min 30 days · 125 openings · below min since tracking started · 125 openings · below min -0.5% 112.0% 224.5% **Small sample.** 125 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist?window=24h) | 16 | 81.56% ±142.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist?window=7d) | 117 | 77.07% ±52.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist) | 125 | 73.19% ±50.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tourist?window=all) | 125 | 73.19% ±50.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 125 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $454 907 coins | 39.6% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $242 484 coins | 21.2% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.20× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $145 289 coins | 19.0% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.80× | | [Souvenir SG 553 \| Waves Perforated (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-waves-perforated-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $68.22 136 coins | 8.9% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.60× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $19.95 39.9 coins | 4.4% | 8 | 6.3 | 1.28× | | [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.04 22.07 coins | 2.4% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.48× | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.04 10.08 coins | 2.2% | 14 | 12.5 | 1.12× | | [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 70.0% | $0.76 1.52 coins | 2.3% | 87 | 87.5 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=tourist) [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $5.04 10.08 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:08 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:31 UTC [MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) Hidden $25.72 51.43 coins $0.76 1.52 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $25.72 | 89.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 82.0% Consumer Grade 3.0% restricted 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.00 on average: an expected loss of $11.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt