--- title: "toxic cock case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "toxic cock ($1.61) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.36% over 3,530 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock rendered: 2026-11-12T06:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [toxic cock](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · toxic cock A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock?window=all) Price · $1.61 · 3.21 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.36% · 3,530 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 872 openings · below min 30 days · 86.36% ±17.02 3,530 openings since tracking started · 86.36% ±17.02 3,530 openings -0.5% 354.5% 709.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock?window=24h) | 8 | 330.53% ±378.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock?window=7d) | 872 | 91.96% ±32.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock) | 3,530 | 86.36% ±17.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-cock?window=all) | 3,530 | 86.36% ±17.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $193 386 coins 120.1x 2026-11-09 07:48 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $193 386 coins 120.1x 2026-11-04 12:22 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $193 386 coins 120.1x 2026-11-04 08:15 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $193 386 coins 120.1x 2026-11-04 07:38 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $193 386 coins 120.1x 2026-11-04 06:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=toxic-cock) [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-victoria-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $7.60 15.19 coins 4.73x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $10.36 20.72 coins 6.45x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [P250 | Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $24.44 48.87 coins 15.22x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 17:03 UTC [P250 | Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) Hidden $1.61 3.21 coins $24.44 48.87 coins 15.22x 2026-11-10 17:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $193 (120.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.36 on average: an expected loss of $13.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt