--- title: "Toxic Forest Lowkey case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Toxic Forest Lowkey ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.04% over 1,658 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey rendered: 2026-11-12T06:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Toxic Forest Lowkey](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Toxic Forest Lowkey A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.04% · 1,658 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 44 openings · below min 7 days · 930 openings · below min 30 days · 100.04% ±43.81 1,658 openings since tracking started · 100.04% ±43.81 1,658 openings -0.5% 94.5% 189.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey?window=24h) | 44 | 63.83% ±124.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey?window=7d) | 930 | 104.56% ±60.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey) | 1,658 | 100.04% ±43.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/toxic-forest-lowkey?window=all) | 1,658 | 100.04% ±43.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $966 1,931 coins 193.1x 2026-11-05 23:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $728 1,457 coins 145.7x 2026-11-05 21:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $728 1,457 coins 145.7x 2026-11-05 06:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $728 1,457 coins 145.7x 2026-11-04 07:11 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $269 538 coins 53.84x 2026-11-08 09:53 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $269 538 coins 53.84x 2026-11-08 09:42 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $269 538 coins 53.84x 2026-11-07 19:26 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $269 538 coins 53.84x 2026-11-05 21:44 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) [NeonSnipe2534](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/NeonSnipe2534) $5.00 10 coins $269 538 coins 53.84x 2026-11-04 21:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=toxic-forest-lowkey) [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:44 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:44 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:44 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:44 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:44 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:44 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:42 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:42 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:42 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 03:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $966 (193.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.04 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt