--- title: "Tripped case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tripped ($60.87) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 92.65% over 874 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Tripped](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Tripped A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped?window=all) Price · $60.87 · 122 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $54.78 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.65% · 874 openings, odds method Variance · 24.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 43 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 111.21% ±49.61 384 openings 30 days · 92.65% ±32.88 874 openings since tracking started · 92.65% ±32.88 874 openings -0.5% 207.0% 414.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped?window=24h) | 16 | 170.64% ±243.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped?window=7d) | 384 | 111.21% ±49.6 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped) | 874 | 92.65% ±32.9 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/tripped?window=all) | 874 | 92.65% ±32.9 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 874 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $4,806 9,611 coins | 17.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.14× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 333 | $3,187 6,373 coins | 17.5% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.14× | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $754 1,507 coins | 11.0% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.00× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $702 1,404 coins | 12.8% | 10 | 8.7 | 1.14× | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $632 1,265 coins | 11.5% | 7 | 8.7 | 0.80× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $558 1,117 coins | 10.2% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.03× | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $201 402 coins | 7.3% | 13 | 17.5 | 0.74× | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $46.72 93.43 coins | 2.6% | 25 | 26.2 | 0.95× | | [P250 \| Facets (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facets-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $11.26 22.52 coins | 1.2% | 54 | 52.4 | 1.03× | | [P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) | 23.0% | $7.76 15.52 coins | 3.3% | 210 | 201.0 | 1.04× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 30.0% | $6.04 12.08 coins | 3.3% | 244 | 262.2 | 0.93× | | [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) | 31.7% | $3.04 6.08 coins | 1.8% | 290 | 277.1 | 1.05× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) [fortune](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fortune) $60.87 122 coins $4,806 9,611 coins 78.95x 2026-11-10 10:44 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $4,806 9,611 coins 78.95x 2026-11-09 09:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $3,187 6,373 coins 52.35x 2026-11-04 23:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $3,187 6,373 coins 52.35x 2026-11-04 03:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $3,187 6,373 coins 52.35x 2026-11-04 00:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $754 1,507 coins 12.38x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $754 1,507 coins 12.38x 2026-11-06 13:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [kn0x77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kn0x77) $60.87 122 coins $754 1,507 coins 12.38x 2026-11-04 20:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $754 1,507 coins 12.38x 2026-11-04 00:56 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $754 1,507 coins 12.38x 2026-11-04 00:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=tripped) [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $7.76 15.52 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $6.04 12.08 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $754 1,507 coins 12.38x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $6.04 12.08 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $3.04 6.08 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $6.04 12.08 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $3.04 6.08 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) [kruley](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kruley) $60.87 122 coins $7.76 15.52 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $7.76 15.52 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) Hidden $60.87 122 coins $3.04 6.08 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 07:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $60.87 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.2% covert 2.3% #EB4B4B 0.8% classified 31.0% pink 2.0% restricted 3.0% industrial 37.7% Mythical 23.0% best hit $4,806 (78.95x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt