--- title: "Ulltima volution case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ulltima volution ($2.71) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.41% over 1,879 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution rendered: 2026-11-12T00:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Ulltima volution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Ulltima volution A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution?window=all) Price · $2.71 · 5.42 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.41% · 1,879 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 888 openings · below min 7 days · 89.41% ±25.66 1,879 openings 30 days · 89.41% ±25.66 1,879 openings since tracking started · 89.41% ±25.66 1,879 openings 63.0% 109.3% 155.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution?window=24h) | 888 | 111.43% ±43.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution?window=7d) | 1,879 | 89.41% ±25.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution) | 1,879 | 89.41% ±25.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ulltima-volution?window=all) | 1,879 | 89.41% ±25.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $227 454 coins 83.78x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $220 440 coins 81.09x 2026-11-10 19:29 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $141 281 coins 51.91x 2026-11-11 22:22 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $141 281 coins 51.91x 2026-11-11 22:16 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $141 281 coins 51.91x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $141 281 coins 51.91x 2026-11-11 22:15 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $141 281 coins 51.91x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $141 281 coins 51.91x 2026-11-09 18:35 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $141 281 coins 51.91x 2026-11-08 13:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ulltima-volution) [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $2.71 5.42 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $227 (83.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.41 on average: an expected loss of $10.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt