--- title: "Ultima billion case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ultima billion ($1,076.47) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.41% over 576 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion rendered: 2026-11-12T01:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Ultima billion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Ultima billion A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion?window=all) Price · $1,076.47 · 2,153 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 75.41% · 576 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 460 openings · below min 7 days · 576 openings · below min 30 days · 576 openings · below min since tracking started · 576 openings · below min 4.0% 71.3% 138.5% **Small sample.** 576 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion?window=24h) | 460 | 69.41% ±64.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion?window=7d) | 576 | 75.41% ±62.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion) | 576 | 75.41% ±62.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-billion?window=all) | 576 | 75.41% ±62.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $112K 223,312 coins 103.7x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $112K 223,312 coins 103.7x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $112K 223,312 coins 103.7x 2026-11-09 18:42 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $31.6K 63,128 coins 29.32x 2026-11-12 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $31.6K 63,128 coins 29.32x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $5,803 11,607 coins 5.39x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $3,204 6,407 coins 2.98x 2026-11-12 00:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ultima-billion) [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-field-tested) Hidden $1,076 2,153 coins $106 212 coins 0.10x 2026-11-12 00:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $112K (103.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.41 on average: an expected loss of $24.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt