--- title: "Ultima rain case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ultima rain ($0.12) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.16% over 43.6K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Ultima rain](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Ultima rain A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain?window=all) Price · $0.12 · 0.24 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.16% · 43.6K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 560 openings · below min 7 days · 94.15% ±13.74 38.9K openings 30 days · 93.16% ±12.90 43.6K openings since tracking started · 93.16% ±12.90 43.6K openings -0.5% 92.0% 184.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain?window=24h) | 560 | 79.48% ±104.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain?window=7d) | 38.9K | 94.15% ±13.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain) | 43.6K | 93.16% ±12.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultima-rain?window=all) | 43.6K | 93.16% ±12.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 22:16 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 22:14 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 22:12 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 22:11 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 22:11 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 13:32 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 13:29 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 13:28 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 13:28 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 214.5x 2026-11-09 13:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ultima-rain) [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) [BriskVault1293](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BriskVault1293) $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC [P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-granite-marbleized-field-tested) Hidden $0.12 0.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $25.74 (214.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.16 on average: an expected loss of $6.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt