--- title: "ultimatom bump why not !! on Chicken.gg: odds & RTP" description: "ultimatom bump why not !! ($2.27) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 199.08% over 206 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not rendered: 2026-11-11T22:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [ultimatom bump why not !!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · ultimatom bump why not !! A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not?window=all) Price · $2.27 · 4.54 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 199.08% · 206 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 146 openings · below min 30 days · 206 openings · below min since tracking started · 206 openings · below min -0.5% 252.8% 506.0% **Small sample.** 206 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not?window=7d) | 146 | 66.01% ±101.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not) | 206 | 199.08% ±306.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ultimatom-bump-why-not?window=all) | 206 | 199.08% ±306.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins $712 1,424 coins 313.6x 2026-11-04 18:24 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins $162 323 coins 71.21x 2026-11-10 19:21 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ultimatom-bump-why-not) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $2.27 4.54 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $712 (313.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 199.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $199.08 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt