--- title: "Vertigo case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vertigo ($12.81) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 6 items with odds, observed 100.53% over 5,526 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo rendered: 2026-11-12T05:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Vertigo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Vertigo A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo?window=all) Price · $12.81 · 25.62 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $11.53 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 100.53% · 5,526 openings, odds method Variance · 169.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 745 openings · below min 7 days · 108.14% ±40.75 3,919 openings 30 days · 100.53% ±34.32 5,526 openings since tracking started · 100.53% ±34.32 5,526 openings -0.5% 82.8% 166.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo?window=24h) | 745 | 71.67% ±93.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo?window=7d) | 3,919 | 108.14% ±40.7 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo) | 5,526 | 100.53% ±34.3 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vertigo?window=all) | 5,526 | 100.53% ±34.3 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,526 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,893 11,786 coins | 25.6% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.09× | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,617 7,234 coins | 15.7% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.81× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,661 3,323 coins | 14.4% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.90× | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $503 1,006 coins | 8.7% | 14 | 11.1 | 1.27× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $195 390 coins | 33.8% | 97 | 110.5 | 0.88× | | [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) | 97.6% | $0.21 0.42 coins | 1.8% | 5,402 | 5393.4 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $5,893 11,786 coins 460.0x 2026-11-09 11:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $5,893 11,786 coins 460.0x 2026-11-06 18:11 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $5,893 11,786 coins 460.0x 2026-11-05 20:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $3,617 7,234 coins 282.3x 2026-11-11 22:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [fortune](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fortune) $12.81 25.62 coins $3,617 7,234 coins 282.3x 2026-11-10 11:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $3,617 7,234 coins 282.3x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $3,617 7,234 coins 282.3x 2026-11-05 20:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [BG2x](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BG2x) $12.81 25.62 coins $3,617 7,234 coins 282.3x 2026-11-03 16:43 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $1,661 3,323 coins 129.7x 2026-11-06 01:33 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $1,661 3,323 coins 129.7x 2026-11-05 23:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=vertigo) [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) [syltfanxx](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/syltfanxx) $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC [SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $12.81 25.62 coins $0.21 0.42 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 04:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.81 | 89.99% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Knives 0.1% covert 2.2% other 0.2% #4b69ff 97.6% best hit $5,893 (460.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt