--- title: "Vice case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vice ($86.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 105.80% over 1,483 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice rendered: 2026-11-11T20:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Vice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Vice A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice?window=all) Price · $86.50 · 173 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $77.85 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.80% · 1,483 openings, odds method Variance · 61.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 59 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 56 openings · below min 7 days · 90.83% ±67.46 519 openings 30 days · 105.80% ±39.91 1,483 openings since tracking started · 105.80% ±39.91 1,483 openings -0.5% 146.3% 293.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice?window=24h) | 56 | 87.10% ±205.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice?window=7d) | 519 | 90.83% ±67.5 | +0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice) | 1,483 | 105.80% ±39.9 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/vice?window=all) | 1,483 | 105.80% ±39.9 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,483 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $15.1K 30,112 coins | 38.7% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.35× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $956 1,912 coins | 6.1% | 8 | 7.4 | 1.08× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $544 1,087 coins | 7.0% | 18 | 14.8 | 1.21× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $366 732 coins | 4.7% | 24 | 14.8 | 1.62× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $301 602 coins | 3.9% | 13 | 14.8 | 0.88× | | [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $244 488 coins | 6.3% | 33 | 29.7 | 1.11× | | [M4A4 \| Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $183 365 coins | 5.4% | 29 | 34.1 | 0.85× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $113 226 coins | 4.4% | 47 | 44.5 | 1.06× | | [Souvenir XM1014 \| Fallout Warning (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $75.70 151 coins | 4.9% | 59 | 74.1 | 0.80× | | [Souvenir XM1014 \| CaliCamo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-calicamo-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $50.61 101 coins | 3.9% | 101 | 89.0 | 1.14× | | [XM1014 \| Red Leather (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-leather-factory-new) | 10.0% | $36.61 73.22 coins | 4.7% | 152 | 148.3 | 1.02× | | [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 14.0% | $15.21 30.42 coins | 2.7% | 202 | 207.6 | 0.97× | | [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-field-tested) | 15.0% | $14.40 28.79 coins | 2.8% | 219 | 222.4 | 0.98× | | [XM1014 \| Jungle (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-jungle-factory-new) | 15.0% | $11.49 22.98 coins | 2.2% | 222 | 222.4 | 1.00× | | [XM1014 \| Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-field-tested) | 14.0% | $8.54 17.08 coins | 1.5% | 213 | 207.6 | 1.03× | | [XM1014 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-heaven-guard-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.86 13.72 coins | 0.9% | 139 | 148.3 | 0.94× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $15.1K 30,112 coins 174.1x 2026-11-06 16:26 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $15.1K 30,112 coins 174.1x 2026-11-04 03:50 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $15.1K 30,112 coins 174.1x 2026-11-04 03:47 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $15.1K 30,112 coins 174.1x 2026-11-04 00:58 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $956 1,912 coins 11.05x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $956 1,912 coins 11.05x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $956 1,912 coins 11.05x 2026-11-07 15:24 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) [prudent](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/prudent) $86.50 173 coins $956 1,912 coins 11.05x 2026-11-05 20:29 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $956 1,912 coins 11.05x 2026-11-04 04:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $956 1,912 coins 11.05x 2026-11-04 04:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=vice) [Souvenir XM1014 | CaliCamo (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-xm1014-calicamo-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $50.61 101 coins 0.59x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [XM1014 | Red Leather (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-leather-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $36.61 73.22 coins 0.42x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [XM1014 | Red Leather (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-leather-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $36.61 73.22 coins 0.42x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $86.50 173 coins $15.21 30.42 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $956 1,912 coins 11.05x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-field-tested) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $8.54 17.08 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [XM1014 | Red Leather (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-leather-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $36.61 73.22 coins 0.42x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [XM1014 | Jungle (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-jungle-factory-new) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $86.50 173 coins $11.49 22.98 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 17:26 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $15.21 30.42 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) Hidden $86.50 173 coins $15.21 30.42 coins 0.18x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $86.50 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.7% rare 1.0% covert 1.0% restricted 14.3% classified 17.0% Industrial Grade 5.0% other 6.0% Mil Spec Grade 10.0% industrial 15.0% consumer 15.0% mil spec 14.0% best hit $15.1K (174.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt