--- title: "Voltage case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Voltage ($4.40) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.93% from 16 items with odds, observed 76.47% over 3,482 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Voltage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Voltage A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage?window=all) Price · $4.40 · 8.79 coins Advertised RTP · 89.93% · EV $3.95 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.47% · 3,482 openings, odds method Variance · 83.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 108 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 348 openings · below min 7 days · 82.37% ±35.73 2,522 openings 30 days · 76.47% ±30.41 3,482 openings since tracking started · 76.47% ±30.41 3,482 openings -0.5% 83.0% 166.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage?window=24h) | 348 | 69.52% ±96.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage?window=7d) | 2,522 | 82.37% ±35.7 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage) | 3,482 | 76.47% ±30.4 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/voltage?window=all) | 3,482 | 76.47% ±30.4 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,482 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $6,234 12,468 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,317 4,635 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,979 3,958 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $860 1,721 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $525 1,051 coins | 6.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $338 677 coins | 6.8% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.72× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $226 452 coins | 5.7% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.44× | | [Souvenir SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-hazard-pay-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $195 391 coins | 4.9% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.15× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $158 315 coins | 4.0% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $129 258 coins | 6.5% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $92.49 185 coins | 5.9% | 11 | 8.7 | 1.26× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Arboreal (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-arboreal-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $51.12 102 coins | 6.5% | 16 | 17.4 | 0.92× | | [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $42.09 84.17 coins | 10.6% | 41 | 34.8 | 1.18× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $31.27 62.54 coins | 7.9% | 39 | 34.8 | 1.12× | | [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $14.33 28.65 coins | 5.7% | 38 | 54.9 | 0.69× | | [Negev \| Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) | 95.0% | $0.57 1.14 coins | 13.7% | 3,315 | 3307.9 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $525 1,051 coins 119.5x 2026-11-05 22:11 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $338 677 coins 76.97x 2026-11-07 01:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $338 677 coins 76.97x 2026-11-06 11:25 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $226 452 coins 51.45x 2026-11-09 20:33 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $226 452 coins 51.45x 2026-11-07 18:47 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $226 452 coins 51.45x 2026-11-06 17:20 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $226 452 coins 51.45x 2026-11-04 00:14 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $226 452 coins 51.45x 2026-11-03 10:58 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) [oskandle](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/oskandle) $4.40 8.79 coins $226 452 coins 51.45x 2026-11-02 22:26 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=voltage) [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) [patriarch1337](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/patriarch1337) $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) Hidden $4.40 8.79 coins $0.57 1.14 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4.40 | 89.93% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 0.0% covert 1.3% covert knife 0.0% classified 0.1% Classified 0.2% extraordinary 0.6% #d32ee6 0.3% restricted 2.6% violet 95.0% best hit $525 (119.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.93 on average: an expected loss of $10.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt