--- title: "Wall Bang case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Wall Bang ($47.80) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 35.22% over 60 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang rendered: 2026-11-11T16:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Wall Bang](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Wall Bang A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang?window=all) Price · $47.80 · 95.59 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $43.02 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 35.22% · 60 openings, odds method Variance · 13.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 60 openings · below min 30 days · 60 openings · below min since tracking started · 60 openings · below min -0.5% 132.3% 265.0% **Small sample.** 60 openings and 1.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang?window=24h) | 8 | 13.43% ±250.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang?window=7d) | 60 | 35.22% ±91.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang) | 60 | 35.22% ±91.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wall-bang?window=all) | 60 | 35.22% ±91.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,349 2,698 coins | 31.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 67 | $771 1,543 coins | 26.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $508 1,015 coins | 18.9% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $150 300 coins | 7.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $50.22 100 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $15.02 30.03 coins | 1.4% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 15.0% | $10.01 20.02 coins | 3.5% | 6 | 9.0 | 0.67× | | [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 20.0% | $7.54 15.08 coins | 3.5% | 15 | 12.0 | 1.25× | | [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 25.0% | $5.11 10.21 coins | 3.0% | 15 | 15.0 | 1.00× | | [Dual Berettas \| Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) | 27.7% | $3.02 6.04 coins | 1.9% | 19 | 16.6 | 1.14× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $508 1,015 coins 10.62x 2026-11-06 00:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=wall-bang) [Nova | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $10.01 20.02 coins 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $5.11 10.21 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [MP9 | Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $5.11 10.21 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $7.54 15.08 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $7.54 15.08 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $3.02 6.04 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [Dual Berettas | Briar (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-briar-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $3.02 6.04 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [Nova | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $47.80 95.59 coins $10.01 20.02 coins 0.21x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $7.54 15.08 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC [Nova | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $47.80 95.59 coins $10.01 20.02 coins 0.21x 2026-11-10 16:16 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $47.80 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% Covert 1.5% covert knife 3.6% extraordinary 2.2% restricted 4.0% industrial 15.0% classified 20.0% violet 25.0% consumer 27.7% best hit $508 (10.62x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt