--- title: "Whistle case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Whistle ($96.99) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 97.78% over 1,871 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle rendered: 2026-11-12T03:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Whistle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Whistle A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle?window=all) Price · $96.99 · 194 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $87.28 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.78% · 1,871 openings, odds method Variance · 50.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 134 openings · below min 7 days · 104.46% ±40.62 1,172 openings 30 days · 97.78% ±32.15 1,871 openings since tracking started · 97.78% ±32.15 1,871 openings -0.5% 101.5% 203.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle?window=24h) | 134 | 82.61% ±120.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle?window=7d) | 1,172 | 104.46% ±40.6 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle) | 1,871 | 97.78% ±32.2 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whistle?window=all) | 1,871 | 97.78% ±32.2 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,871 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 500 | $10.4K 20,866 coins | 23.9% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.80× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 250 | $7,335 14,669 coins | 33.6% | 10 | 7.5 | 1.34× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $2,317 4,635 coins | 10.6% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.94× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $2,125 4,249 coins | 12.2% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.07× | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $301 602 coins | 15.5% | 94 | 84.2 | 1.12× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $56.72 113 coins | 3.9% | 116 | 112.3 | 1.03× | | [Dual Berettas \| Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) | 88.0% | $0.28 0.55 coins | 0.3% | 1,631 | 1646.5 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $10.4K 20,866 coins 107.6x 2026-11-10 10:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $10.4K 20,866 coins 107.6x 2026-11-09 20:28 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $10.4K 20,866 coins 107.6x 2026-11-04 14:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 75.63x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 75.63x 2026-11-10 03:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 75.63x 2026-11-09 18:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 75.63x 2026-11-09 09:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 75.63x 2026-11-06 15:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 75.63x 2026-11-05 18:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 75.63x 2026-11-05 18:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=whistle) [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-field-tested) Hidden $96.99 194 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $96.99 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 7.5% covert knife 4.5% Common 88.0% best hit $10.4K (107.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt