--- title: "Whiteout case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Whiteout ($9.17) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 8 items with odds, observed 82.84% over 531 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Whiteout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Whiteout A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout?window=all) Price · $9.17 · 18.34 coins Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $8.25 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.84% · 531 openings, odds method Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 44 openings · below min 7 days · 84.35% ±20.73 517 openings 30 days · 82.84% ±20.45 531 openings since tracking started · 82.84% ±20.45 531 openings 61.5% 144.0% 226.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout?window=24h) | 44 | 154.95% ±71.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout?window=7d) | 517 | 84.35% ±20.7 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout) | 531 | 82.84% ±20.5 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/whiteout?window=all) | 531 | 82.84% ±20.5 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 531 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [MP7 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $367 733 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $146 292 coins | 17.7% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $105 209 coins | 12.7% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.94× | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $23.04 46.07 coins | 27.9% | 42 | 53.1 | 0.79× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 10.0% | $19.52 39.04 coins | 23.7% | 59 | 53.1 | 1.11× | | [MP7 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-field-tested) | 15.0% | $6.56 13.11 coins | 11.9% | 90 | 79.6 | 1.13× | | [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) | 30.0% | $0.37 0.74 coins | 1.3% | 155 | 159.3 | 0.97× | | [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) | 32.9% | $0.09 0.17 coins | 0.3% | 175 | 174.7 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=whiteout) [P250 | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $23.04 46.07 coins 2.51x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [MP7 | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-field-tested) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $6.56 13.11 coins 0.71x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $19.52 39.04 coins 2.13x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $0.37 0.74 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-field-tested) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) [chakhna](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/chakhna) $9.17 18.34 coins $0.37 0.74 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $19.52 39.04 coins 2.13x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC [MAC-10 | Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) Hidden $9.17 18.34 coins $0.37 0.74 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.17 | 89.96% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed mil spec 89.0% classified 11.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt