--- title: "Wild draft case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Wild draft ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.48% over 1,808 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft rendered: 2026-11-11T23:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Wild draft](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Wild draft A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.48% · 1,808 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 82.48% ±24.84 1,808 openings 7 days · 82.48% ±24.84 1,808 openings 30 days · 82.48% ±24.84 1,808 openings since tracking started · 82.48% ±24.84 1,808 openings 57.0% 82.5% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft?window=24h) | 1,808 | 82.48% ±24.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft?window=7d) | 1,808 | 82.48% ±24.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft) | 1,808 | 82.48% ±24.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wild-draft?window=all) | 1,808 | 82.48% ±24.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $379 759 coins 75.86x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $379 759 coins 75.86x 2026-11-11 20:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $379 759 coins 75.86x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $379 759 coins 75.86x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $278 556 coins 55.65x 2026-11-11 21:28 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $278 556 coins 55.65x 2026-11-11 20:44 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $278 556 coins 55.65x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Till0999](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Till0999) $5.00 10 coins $278 556 coins 55.65x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $278 556 coins 55.65x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=wild-draft) [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $6.72 13.44 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) [Till0999](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Till0999) $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $379 (75.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.48 on average: an expected loss of $17.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt