--- title: "Wings case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wings ($5,288.54) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 99.28% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings rendered: 2026-11-12T05:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Wings](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Wings A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings?window=all) Price · $5,288.54 · 10,577 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $4,759.68 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.28% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 7.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min -0.5% 114.8% 230.0% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings?window=7d) | 16 | 99.28% ±130.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings) | 16 | 99.28% ±130.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wings?window=all) | 16 | 99.28% ±130.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $73.5K 147,047 coins | 15.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $52.4K 104,780 coins | 33.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $41.2K 82,490 coins | 26.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 33 | $31.6K 63,128 coins | 19.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $8,862 17,724 coins | 5.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 25.0% | $4.97 9.94 coins | 0.0% | 7 | 4.0 | 1.75× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 25.0% | $4.79 9.57 coins | 0.0% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× | | [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) | 37.0% | $0.49 0.99 coins | 0.0% | 3 | 5.9 | 0.51× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $52.4K 104,780 coins 9.91x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $31.6K 63,128 coins 5.97x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=wings) [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $4.79 9.57 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $52.4K 104,780 coins 9.91x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $4.97 9.94 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $4.79 9.57 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) [pooop](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/pooop) $5,289 10,577 coins $4.97 9.94 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $31.6K 63,128 coins 5.97x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $4.97 9.94 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $4.97 9.94 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $5,289 10,577 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5,289 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.0% remarkable 6.0% covert 31.0% Legendary 25.0% classified 37.0% best hit $52.4K (9.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt