--- title: "Wired case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wired ($20.77) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 37.22% over 198 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired rendered: 2026-11-11T18:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Wired](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Wired A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired?window=all) Price · $20.77 · 41.54 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $18.69 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 37.22% · 198 openings, odds method Variance · 25.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 17 openings · below min 7 days · 170 openings · below min 30 days · 198 openings · below min since tracking started · 198 openings · below min -0.5% 164.5% 329.5% **Small sample.** 198 openings and 2.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired?window=24h) | 17 | 91.26% ±237.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired?window=7d) | 170 | 38.20% ±75.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired) | 198 | 37.22% ±69.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/wired?window=all) | 198 | 37.22% ±69.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 198 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $1,012 2,023 coins | 54.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $152 304 coins | 16.3% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.76× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $117 234 coins | 13.8% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.15× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $70.09 140 coins | 9.4% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.81× | | [SCAR-20 \| Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $4.53 9.05 coins | 1.9% | 8 | 15.8 | 0.51× | | [FAMAS \| Contrast Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-field-tested) | 27.0% | $1.52 3.03 coins | 2.2% | 50 | 53.5 | 0.94× | | [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) | 27.3% | $1.02 2.04 coins | 1.5% | 61 | 54.1 | 1.13× | | [MP9 \| Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) | 30.0% | $0.51 1.01 coins | 0.8% | 67 | 59.4 | 1.13× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=wired) [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $20.77 41.54 coins $1.02 2.04 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $20.77 41.54 coins $70.09 140 coins 3.37x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $20.77 41.54 coins $0.51 1.01 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-field-tested) Hidden $20.77 41.54 coins $1.52 3.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-field-tested) Hidden $20.77 41.54 coins $1.52 3.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-scorched-factory-new) [return](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/return) $20.77 41.54 coins $117 234 coins 5.64x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-factory-new) Hidden $20.77 41.54 coins $4.53 9.05 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $20.77 41.54 coins $1.02 2.04 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC [FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-field-tested) Hidden $20.77 41.54 coins $1.52 3.03 coins 0.07x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $20.77 41.54 coins $1.02 2.04 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 21:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.77 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% covert knife 4.5% other 2.2% Consumer Grade 8.0% #777777 27.0% Rare 27.3% mil spec 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt