--- title: "X Koss 3% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "X Koss 3% ($12.50) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.36% over 2,065 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [X Koss 3%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · X Koss 3% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3?window=all) Price · $12.50 · 25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.36% · 2,065 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 132 openings · below min 7 days · 81.73% ±32.09 1,400 openings 30 days · 99.36% ±30.18 2,065 openings since tracking started · 99.36% ±30.18 2,065 openings -0.5% 99.5% 199.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3?window=24h) | 132 | 88.82% ±110.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3?window=7d) | 1,400 | 81.73% ±32.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3) | 2,065 | 99.36% ±30.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/x-koss-3?window=all) | 2,065 | 99.36% ±30.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,125 2,251 coins 90.03x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,125 2,251 coins 90.03x 2026-11-09 22:27 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,125 2,251 coins 90.03x 2026-11-04 19:18 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) [cherrylea](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/cherrylea) $12.50 25 coins $1,125 2,251 coins 90.03x 2026-11-03 20:32 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,125 2,251 coins 90.03x 2026-11-03 16:34 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $1,125 2,251 coins 90.03x 2026-11-03 16:29 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $712 1,424 coins 56.95x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $712 1,424 coins 56.95x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $712 1,424 coins 56.95x 2026-11-10 22:57 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-factory-new) Hidden $12.50 25 coins $712 1,424 coins 56.95x 2026-11-06 00:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=x-koss-3) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $12.50 25 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,125 (90.03x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.36 on average: an expected loss of $0.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt