--- title: "XMAS 15% FOOD case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "XMAS 15% FOOD ($50.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 123.57% over 1,092 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food rendered: 2026-11-13T03:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [XMAS 15% FOOD](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · XMAS 15% FOOD A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food?window=all) Price · $50.00 · 100 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 123.57% · 1,092 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 125.30% ±31.17 1,056 openings 30 days · 123.57% ±30.24 1,092 openings since tracking started · 123.57% ±30.24 1,092 openings 92.5% 124.8% 157.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food?window=7d) | 1,056 | 125.30% ±31.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food) | 1,092 | 123.57% ±30.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xmas-15-food?window=all) | 1,092 | 123.57% ±30.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $6,222 12,443 coins 124.4x 2026-11-09 12:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $2,338 4,676 coins 46.76x 2026-11-07 15:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,524 3,048 coins 30.48x 2026-11-09 12:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [tijsv20](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/tijsv20) $50.00 100 coins $1,524 3,048 coins 30.48x 2026-11-09 12:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,524 3,048 coins 30.48x 2026-11-09 12:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,524 3,048 coins 30.48x 2026-11-06 05:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [tijsv20](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/tijsv20) $50.00 100 coins $1,048 2,096 coins 20.96x 2026-11-09 12:35 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,048 2,096 coins 20.96x 2026-11-09 12:28 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,048 2,096 coins 20.96x 2026-11-09 12:27 UTC [AWP | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $884 1,767 coins 17.67x 2026-11-09 12:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=xmas-15-food) [Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Charm | That's Bananas charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-thats-bananas) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $333 667 coins 6.67x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) [mummiexPT](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/mummiexPT) $50.00 100 coins $175 350 coins 3.50x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:38 UTC [G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:38 UTC [G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.09 0.17 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:38 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,222 (124.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 123.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $123.57 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt