--- title: "xxxxderdnik case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "xxxxderdnik ($200.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 21.38% over 104 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik rendered: 2026-11-13T03:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [xxxxderdnik](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · xxxxderdnik A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik?window=all) Price · $200.00 · 400 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 21.38% · 104 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 40 openings · below min 30 days · 104 openings · below min since tracking started · 104 openings · below min 3.5% 54.3% 105.0% **Small sample.** 104 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik?window=24h) | 14 | 54.44% ±50.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik?window=7d) | 40 | 37.40% ±25.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik) | 104 | 21.38% ±11.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/xxxxderdnik?window=all) | 104 | 21.38% ±11.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=xxxxderdnik) [Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:57 UTC [Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $200 400 coins $462 923 coins 2.31x 2026-11-12 07:57 UTC [Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:57 UTC [Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:57 UTC [Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) Hidden $200 400 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:57 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $200 400 coins $450 900 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 07:57 UTC [Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) [Bilboref](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Bilboref) $200 400 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 07:57 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) Hidden $200 400 coins $12.42 24.83 coins 0.06x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $200 400 coins $450 900 coins 2.25x 2026-11-12 07:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 21.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $21.38 on average: an expected loss of $78.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt