--- title: "Yedi case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Yedi ($15.18) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 12 items with odds, observed 94.17% over 261 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Yedi](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Yedi A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi?window=all) Price · $15.18 · 30.36 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $13.66 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.17% · 261 openings, odds method Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 94.45% ±29.96 255 openings 30 days · 94.17% ±29.61 261 openings since tracking started · 94.17% ±29.61 261 openings -0.5% 133.5% 267.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi?window=24h) | 4 | 27.48% ±239.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi?window=7d) | 255 | 94.45% ±30.0 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi) | 261 | 94.17% ±29.6 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yedi?window=all) | 261 | 94.17% ±29.6 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 261 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $501 1,002 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $252 504 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $151 302 coins | 5.5% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.30× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $126 252 coins | 23.0% | 7 | 6.5 | 1.07× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $100 201 coins | 18.4% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.92× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $75.06 150 coins | 16.5% | 12 | 7.8 | 1.53× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $45.68 91.35 coins | 10.0% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.51× | | [P250 \| Digital Architect (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-digital-architect-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $34.93 69.86 coins | 7.7% | 10 | 7.8 | 1.28× | | [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $25.74 51.47 coins | 5.7% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $16.67 33.34 coins | 1.2% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.53× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $12.52 25.03 coins | 0.9% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.92× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 80.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 201 | 208.8 | 0.96× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=yedi) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $15.18 30.36 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $15.18 30.36 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $15.18 30.36 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) [pooop](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/pooop) $15.18 30.36 coins $16.67 33.34 coins 1.10x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $15.18 30.36 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 1.70x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $15.18 30.36 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $15.18 30.36 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $15.18 30.36 coins $12.52 25.03 coins 0.82x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) Hidden $15.18 30.36 coins $100 201 coins 6.62x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [rekztimmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/rekztimmy) $15.18 30.36 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $15.18 | 89.98% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.1% classified 4.9% covert 2.5% covert knife 2.5% Restricted 3.0% restricted 3.0% mil spec 4.0% #4b69ff 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt