--- title: "Yosoykush Special case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Yosoykush Special ($16.85) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 82.77% over 2,374 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special rendered: 2026-11-12T01:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Yosoykush Special](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Yosoykush Special A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special?window=all) Price · $16.85 · 33.7 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $15.16 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.77% · 2,374 openings, odds method Variance · 62.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 133 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 398 openings · below min 7 days · 84.52% ±37.03 1,756 openings 30 days · 82.77% ±31.85 2,374 openings since tracking started · 82.77% ±31.85 2,374 openings 11.5% 90.0% 168.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special?window=24h) | 398 | 90.13% ±77.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special?window=7d) | 1,756 | 84.52% ±37.0 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special) | 2,374 | 82.77% ±31.8 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/yosoykush-special?window=all) | 2,374 | 82.77% ±31.8 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,374 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,722 7,444 coins | 12.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,414 6,828 coins | 11.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.68× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,493 2,987 coins | 9.8% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 8.3% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $481 961 coins | 6.3% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.84× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $308 616 coins | 5.1% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.01× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $220 440 coins | 3.6% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $169 339 coins | 11.2% | 21 | 23.7 | 0.88× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $129 258 coins | 12.7% | 34 | 35.6 | 0.95× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $39.19 78.38 coins | 19.4% | 172 | 178.0 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 89.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 2,124 | 2112.9 | 1.01× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 202.6x 2026-11-10 18:51 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins $3,414 6,828 coins 202.6x 2026-11-04 06:18 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins $1,493 2,987 coins 88.63x 2026-11-10 18:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) [FilthyDaDegen](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/FilthyDaDegen) $16.85 33.7 coins $1,252 2,504 coins 74.30x 2026-11-11 23:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins $1,252 2,504 coins 74.30x 2026-11-11 20:01 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins $1,252 2,504 coins 74.30x 2026-11-06 20:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins $1,252 2,504 coins 74.30x 2026-11-05 07:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=yosoykush-special) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) [FilthyDaDegen](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/FilthyDaDegen) $16.85 33.7 coins $39.19 78.38 coins 2.33x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $16.85 33.7 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.85 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.4% extraordinary 0.3% legendary 0.1% epic 0.2% consumer 89.0% best hit $3,414 (202.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt