--- title: "Zackwinz case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Zackwinz ($48.87) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 87.96% over 35 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz rendered: 2026-11-11T14:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Zackwinz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Zackwinz A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz?window=all) Price · $48.87 · 97.73 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $43.98 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.96% · 35 openings, odds method Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 35 openings · below min 30 days · 35 openings · below min since tracking started · 35 openings · below min 5.0% 88.0% 171.0% **Small sample.** 35 openings and 3.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz?window=7d) | 35 | 87.96% ±82.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz) | 35 | 87.96% ±82.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zackwinz?window=all) | 35 | 87.96% ±82.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 35 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,097 8,194 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,031 2,061 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $501 1,002 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $251 503 coins | 17.1% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.86× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $125 251 coins | 17.1% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| VariCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-varicamo-well-worn) | 10.0% | $75.08 150 coins | 17.1% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 20.0% | $39.19 78.38 coins | 17.8% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 25.0% | $15.38 30.75 coins | 8.7% | 11 | 8.8 | 1.26× | | [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 25.0% | $5.17 10.34 coins | 2.9% | 8 | 8.8 | 0.91× | | [P90 \| Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cocoa-rampage-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.52 1.04 coins | 0.1% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=zackwinz) [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $48.87 97.73 coins $5.17 10.34 coins 0.11x 2026-11-09 17:58 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $48.87 97.73 coins $5.17 10.34 coins 0.11x 2026-11-09 17:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $48.87 97.73 coins $15.38 30.75 coins 0.31x 2026-11-09 17:58 UTC [P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $48.87 97.73 coins $5.17 10.34 coins 0.11x 2026-11-09 17:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $48.87 97.73 coins $15.38 30.75 coins 0.31x 2026-11-09 17:58 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $48.87 97.73 coins $39.19 78.38 coins 0.80x 2026-11-09 17:58 UTC [P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cocoa-rampage-factory-new) Hidden $48.87 97.73 coins $0.52 1.04 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 20:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $48.87 97.73 coins $251 503 coins 5.14x 2026-11-08 20:37 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | VariCamo (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-varicamo-well-worn) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $48.87 97.73 coins $75.08 150 coins 1.54x 2026-11-08 20:37 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $48.87 97.73 coins $15.38 30.75 coins 0.31x 2026-11-08 20:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $48.87 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 51.0% gold 0.3% Covert 0.8% covert knife 3.0% other 10.0% classified 25.0% blue 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt