--- title: "Zenith case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Zenith ($2,623.51) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 90.05% over 8 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Zenith](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Zenith A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith?window=all) Price · $2,623.51 · 5,247 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2,361.15 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.05% · 8 openings, odds method Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 34.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 54.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 8 openings · below min since tracking started · 8 openings · below min 37.0% 90.0% 143.0% **Small sample.** 8 openings and 2.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith?window=7d) | 8 | 90.05% ±52.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith) | 8 | 90.05% ±52.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zenith?window=all) | 8 | 90.05% ±52.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $12.1K 24,151 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $9,483 18,967 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 11.0% | $4,425 8,850 coins | 20.6% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 11.0% | $4,097 8,194 coins | 19.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 11.0% | $3,644 7,288 coins | 17.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 11.0% | $3,617 7,234 coins | 16.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 22.0% | $2,135 4,270 coins | 19.9% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× | | [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) | 32.5% | $0.49 0.99 coins | 0.0% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $4,425 8,850 coins 1.69x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $4,425 8,850 coins 1.69x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $3,644 7,288 coins 1.39x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $2,135 4,270 coins 0.81x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $2,135 4,270 coins 0.81x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $2,135 4,270 coins 0.81x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=zenith) [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $2,135 4,270 coins 0.81x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $4,425 8,850 coins 1.69x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $2,135 4,270 coins 0.81x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-field-tested) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $0.49 0.99 coins 0.00x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $3,644 7,288 coins 1.39x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $4,425 8,850 coins 1.69x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $2,624 5,247 coins $2,135 4,270 coins 0.81x 2026-11-05 09:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2,624 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 55.5% #EB4B4B 1.0% knifes 11.0% classified 32.5% best hit $4,425 (1.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt