---
title: "Zezima case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Zezima ($1,182.46) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 24 items with odds, observed 74.24% over 24 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Zezima](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Zezima

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima?window=all)

Price · $1,182.46 · 2,365 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,064.21 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.24% · 24 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 16 openings · below min

30 days · 24 openings · below min

since tracking started · 24 openings · below min

-0.5% 157.5% 315.5%

**Small sample.** 24 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima?window=24h) | 8 | 136.31% ±178.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima?window=7d) | 16 | 102.03% ±126.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima) | 24 | 74.24% ±103.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima?window=all) | 24 | 74.24% ±103.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $24.8K 49,625 coins | 23.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $10.6K 21,246 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $10.4K 20,866 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $9,925 19,850 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $6,282 12,564 coins | 8.9% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 67 | $5,754 11,508 coins | 8.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $4,761 9,523 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Sticker \| kNgV- (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 67 | $4,260 8,520 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $2,095 4,191 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 67 | $1,888 3,776 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1,757 3,515 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1,263 2,526 coins | 4.7% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 25 | $1,258 2,517 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $435 870 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $385 771 coins | 1.8% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 10.5% | $23.11 46.22 coins | 0.2% | 5 | 2.5 | 1.98× |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $23.04 46.07 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $21.98 43.95 coins | 0.2% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [P250 \| Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $19.17 38.33 coins | 0.2% | 5 | 2.2 | 2.31× |
| [Nova \| Quick Sand (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-quick-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $18.09 36.17 coins | 0.2% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.93× |
| [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $16.06 32.11 coins | 0.1% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.39× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $13.86 27.72 coins | 0.1% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [BreeTheG](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BreeTheG) $1,182 2,365 coins $6,282 12,564 coins 5.31x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $6,282 12,564 coins 5.31x 2026-11-10 12:43 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 4.87x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $1,263 2,526 coins 1.07x 2026-11-04 17:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=zezima)

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 4.87x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $23.11 46.22 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[Nova | Quick Sand (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-quick-sand-factory-new) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $18.09 36.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $23.11 46.22 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $385 771 coins 0.33x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $385 771 coins 0.33x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $23.11 46.22 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [BreeTheG](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BreeTheG) $1,182 2,365 coins $6,282 12,564 coins 5.31x 2026-11-10 22:38 UTC

[P90 | Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $16.06 32.11 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 12:43 UTC

[AWP | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $1,182 2,365 coins $13.86 27.72 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 12:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,182 | 90.00% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 25.5% contraband 2.0% extraordinary 10.5% legendary 1.5% classified 14.0% Ancient 10.5% mil spec 18.0% industrial 9.0% Mil Spec Grade 9.0% best hit $6,282 (5.31x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt