--- title: "zYPHE case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "zYPHE ($58.07) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 75.37% over 2,955 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe rendered: 2026-11-11T17:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [zYPHE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · zYPHE A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe?window=all) Price · $58.07 · 116 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $52.26 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.37% · 2,955 openings, odds method Variance · 369.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 323 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 98.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 240 openings · below min 7 days · 76.45% ±74.71 2,545 openings 30 days · 75.37% ±69.33 2,955 openings since tracking started · 75.37% ±69.33 2,955 openings -0.5% 136.5% 273.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe?window=24h) | 240 | 29.77% ±243.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe?window=7d) | 2,545 | 76.45% ±74.7 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe) | 2,955 | 75.37% ±69.3 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zyphe?window=all) | 2,955 | 75.37% ±69.3 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,955 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $72.4K 144,822 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $41.2K 82,490 coins | 23.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 5,000 | $25.5K 51,019 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $5,306 10,611 coins | 25.4% | 9 | 7.4 | 1.22× | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,150 4,300 coins | 4.1% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.35× | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $999 1,998 coins | 9.6% | 11 | 14.8 | 0.74× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $648 1,295 coins | 13.6% | 32 | 32.5 | 0.98× | | [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-well-worn) | 1 in 294 | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 6 | 10.0 | 0.60× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 97.7% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 2,892 | 2885.6 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $41.2K 82,490 coins 710.3x 2026-11-04 18:20 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-09 23:46 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-09 23:43 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-09 09:52 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-08 21:57 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-07 10:33 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-06 13:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-05 07:50 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-04 16:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $58.07 116 coins $5,306 10,611 coins 91.37x 2026-11-02 23:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=zyphe) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $58.07 116 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $58.07 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% covert 1.1% remarkable 0.0% #EB4B4B 0.1% epic 0.5% industrial 0.3% #4b69ff 97.7% best hit $41.2K (710.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt