--- title: "100% DOPPLER case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "100% DOPPLER ($219.61) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 79.05% over 78 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler rendered: 2026-11-11T18:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [100% DOPPLER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 100% DOPPLER A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler?window=all) Price · $219.61 · 338 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $197.64 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.05% · 78 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 78 openings · below min 30 days · 78 openings · below min since tracking started · 78 openings · below min 8.5% 64.8% 121.0% **Small sample.** 78 openings and 23.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler?window=24h) | 6 | 64.76% ±55.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler?window=7d) | 78 | 79.05% ±15.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler) | 78 | 79.05% ±15.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/100percent-doppler?window=all) | 78 | 79.05% ±15.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 78 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,021 1,571 gems | 5.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $589 905 gems | 6.0% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $444 682 gems | 15.7% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $339 522 gems | 17.2% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $278 428 gems | 14.1% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $222 341 gems | 11.2% | 7 | 7.8 | 0.90× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $153 236 gems | 7.7% | 10 | 7.8 | 1.28× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $146 224 gems | 7.4% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $92.65 143 gems | 4.7% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 10.0% | $74.70 115 gems | 3.8% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 20.0% | $70.27 108 gems | 7.1% | 18 | 15.6 | 1.15× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $589 905 gems 2.68x 2026-11-10 15:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=100percent-doppler) [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $74.70 115 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $70.27 108 gems 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $339 522 gems 1.54x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $153 236 gems 0.70x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $146 224 gems 0.66x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new) [clepto holding](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/clepto%20holding) $220 338 gems $70.27 108 gems 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $92.65 143 gems 0.42x 2026-11-10 15:08 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $153 236 gems 0.70x 2026-11-10 15:08 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $589 905 gems 2.68x 2026-11-10 15:08 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $220 338 gems $278 428 gems 1.27x 2026-11-10 15:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $220 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed sunny 68.0% Covert 22.0% #ffd700 10.0% best hit $589 (2.68x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt