---
title: "10% AK-47 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "10% AK-47 ($31.38) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 94.94% over 3,961 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% AK-47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% AK-47

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle?window=all)

Price · $31.38 · 48.28 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $28.24 from 7 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.94% · 3,961 openings, odds method

Variance · 38.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 70.22% ±77.97 245 openings

7 days · 87.35% ±22.29 2,998 openings

30 days · 94.94% ±19.39 3,961 openings

since tracking started · 94.94% ±19.39 3,961 openings

-0.5% 74.3% 149.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle?window=24h) | 245 | 70.22% ±78.0 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle?window=7d) | 2,998 | 87.35% ±22.3 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle) | 3,961 | 94.94% ±19.4 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-assault-rifle?window=all) | 3,961 | 94.94% ±19.4 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,006 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $7,703 11,850 gems | 13.6% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.50× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,211 1,863 gems | 12.9% | 7 | 12.0 | 0.58× |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 154 | $515 793 gems | 11.9% | 32 | 26.0 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $311 479 gems | 22.0% | 88 | 80.1 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $156 239 gems | 16.5% | 121 | 120.2 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $114 176 gems | 16.2% | 149 | 160.2 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $2.16 3.33 gems | 6.9% | 3,606 | 3605.4 | 1.00× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $7,703 11,850 gems 245.5x 2026-11-05 16:43 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $7,703 11,850 gems 245.5x 2026-11-04 19:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) [koutoulidis](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/koutoulidis) $31.38 48.28 gems $7,703 11,850 gems 245.5x 2026-11-04 10:05 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) [NI𝕏A ˙ᵕ˙](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/NI%F0%9D%95%8FA%20%CB%99%E1%B5%95%CB%99) $31.38 48.28 gems $1,211 1,863 gems 38.58x 2026-11-12 00:22 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $1,211 1,863 gems 38.58x 2026-11-09 20:14 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $1,211 1,863 gems 38.58x 2026-11-09 12:13 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $1,211 1,863 gems 38.58x 2026-11-08 22:26 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $1,211 1,863 gems 38.58x 2026-11-07 06:07 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $1,211 1,863 gems 38.58x 2026-11-06 21:09 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) [$12K LB Wasted.bet](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%2412K%20LB%20Wasted.bet) $31.38 48.28 gems $1,211 1,863 gems 38.58x 2026-11-06 20:52 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-assault-rifle)

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) [7gg7](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/7gg7) $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 01:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:25 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:25 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) [NI𝕏A ˙ᵕ˙](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/NI%F0%9D%95%8FA%20%CB%99%E1%B5%95%CB%99) $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:25 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.38 48.28 gems $2.16 3.33 gems 0.07x 2026-11-12 00:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $31.38 | 89.99% | 7 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 10.0% restricted 90.0% best hit $7,703 (245.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt