--- title: "10% AWP Asiimov case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% AWP Asiimov ($12.52) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 6 items with odds, observed 88.82% over 7,233 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov rendered: 2026-11-12T15:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% AWP Asiimov](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% AWP Asiimov A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov?window=all) Price · $12.52 · 19.26 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $11.26 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.82% · 7,233 openings, odds method Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.57% ±15.71 1,253 openings 7 days · 87.98% ±7.58 5,383 openings 30 days · 88.82% ±6.54 7,233 openings since tracking started · 88.82% ±6.54 7,233 openings 69.0% 85.5% 102.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov?window=24h) | 1,253 | 85.57% ±15.7 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov?window=7d) | 5,383 | 87.98% ±7.58 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov) | 7,233 | 88.82% ±6.54 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-awp-asiimov?window=all) | 7,233 | 88.82% ±6.54 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,449 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $163 251 gems | 43.4% | 232 | 223.5 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $107 165 gems | 28.6% | 219 | 223.5 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $78.40 121 gems | 27.8% | 282 | 298.0 | 0.95× | | [P90 \| Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.03 0.05 gems | 0.1% | 2,259 | 2234.7 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.1% | 2,237 | 2234.7 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 2,220 | 2234.8 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 12:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-awp-asiimov) [P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) Hidden $12.52 19.26 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) Hidden $12.52 19.26 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.52 19.26 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [DTMaster](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/DTMaster) $12.52 19.26 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:35 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $12.52 19.26 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) Hidden $12.52 19.26 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:35 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $12.52 19.26 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [DTMaster](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/DTMaster) $12.52 19.26 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.52 19.26 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:34 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-well-worn) Hidden $12.52 19.26 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 14:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $12.52 | 89.97% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% consumer 60.0% Consumer 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt