--- title: "10% Bread Winner case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Bread Winner ($28.39) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 76.74% over 905 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner rendered: 2026-11-12T09:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Bread Winner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Bread Winner A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner?window=all) Price · $28.39 · 43.68 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 76.74% · 905 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 109 openings · below min 7 days · 729 openings · below min 30 days · 905 openings · below min since tracking started · 905 openings · below min 12.5% 62.7% 113.0% **Small sample.** 905 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner?window=24h) | 109 | 62.66% ±49.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner?window=7d) | 729 | 65.13% ±23.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner) | 905 | 76.74% ±30.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-bread-winner?window=all) | 905 | 76.74% ±30.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $2,902 4,465 gems 102.2x 2026-11-04 13:36 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $1,684 2,590 gems 59.29x 2026-11-06 13:09 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler - (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald-2) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $721 1,109 gems 25.38x 2026-11-09 20:18 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler - (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald-2) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $721 1,109 gems 25.38x 2026-11-04 13:34 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) [mummo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/mummo) $28.39 43.68 gems $553 851 gems 19.48x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $553 851 gems 19.48x 2026-11-09 20:15 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $553 851 gems 19.48x 2026-11-08 10:38 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $553 851 gems 19.48x 2026-11-08 07:55 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $553 851 gems 19.48x 2026-11-06 03:40 UTC [AK-47 | Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $553 851 gems 19.48x 2026-11-04 23:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-bread-winner) [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems $33.38 51.36 gems 1.18x 2026-11-12 04:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [TasiaB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TasiaB) $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:01 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.39 43.68 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 22:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,902 (102.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.74 on average: an expected loss of $23.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt